In a few weeks Dave Kemp will be making his annual pilgrimage to the Vermont Maple Festival in St. Albans, where he will tour the open houses of sugaring equipment manufacturers clustered nearby.
Canadian maple syrup equipment firms Lapiere, CDL, H20 and Dominion & Grim all have showrooms within a short distance of each other in Franklin County, the epicenter of Vermontโs sugaring industry.
The weekend-long event, which includes a parade through St. Albanโs downtown, draws thousands of attendees, including many maple syrup producers, who come to talk shop, sample each otherโs products and put in their advance purchase orders for the latest in sugaring equipment and technology.
But this year Kemp, industry director for the New Hampshire Maple Producers Association and owner of D & D Maple Supplies, a maple syrup equipment distributor in Jaffrey, N.H., expects his annual โworking vacationโ to be consumed with questions over the impact of the Trump administrationโs imposition of 25% tariffs on Canada will have on northern New Englandโs maple syrup industry.
โYouโre going to be looking for something in stock that you can get a good price on because later youโre going to be paying full price plus quite possibly 25 percent,โ said Kemp.
โSo if you have any intention of expanding, buying a bigger evaporator pan or reverse osmosis system, now would be a good time, even if you need to borrow money to do it,โ he advises.
The impacts from tariffs are far from clear and โ contrary to belief even within the sugaring industry โ maple syrup imports and equipment are exempt under prior trade agreements, according to Vermontโs maple syrup trade association.
But that doesnโt mean exempt products themselves โ which can include materials imported by Canadian manufacturers from the U.S. โ wonโt be affected as reciprocal tariffs imposed by Canada will drive up costs on the supply side.
Kemp, 71, said he is bracing for the dealership meeting with his major equipment supplier, Quebec-based CDL, which will be on April 26, the day before the manufacturer showrooms open to the general public.
Thatโs when CDL dealers expect to hear how much more they will be pay for evaporators, vacuum pumps, boiling pans, tanks, tubing, containers, bottles and the panoply of equipment sugarmakers use to boil maple tree sap into syrup โ as a result of the trade war unleashed by tariffs.
โEverybody is concerned because 90 percent of what makes maple or is maple comes to us through Canada,โ said Kemp, adding he is โspeaking my own opinionโ since the MPA board has not yet formed an โofficial position.โ
Despite the apparent tariff exemptions for maple syrup and equipment, some in the sugaring business report they are nonetheless already being affected by the broader turmoil.
Bruce Bascom, owner of Bascom Maple Farms, the giant maple industry equipment supplier and producer of syrup based in Alstead, N.H., said he sent a truck to pick up two stainless steel storage tanks at a manufacturerโs warehouse in Swanton, Vt., last week that were destined for a customer in New Hampshire.
But, when Bascomโs truck arrived at the Vermont warehouse a surprise 12% surcharge had been slapped onto his wholesale cost for the tanks imported from their manufacturer in Canada.
โWe already had those tanks sold to other people,โ Bascom related. โSo we ended up taking a loss because we couldnโt change the price at that point. We got caught in the middle.โ
Allison Hope, executive director of the Vermont Maple Sugar Makersโ Association, who has been liaising closely with U.S. Sen. Peter Welchโs office, said the Trump administrationโs statements on tariffs โhas changed so much over the past couple of months that itโs hard to get final crystal clarity on it.โ
She noted, however, that the White Houseโs announcement on April 2 imposing a broad array of tariffs on U.S. trading partners states that under the USMCA trade pact with Canada and Mexico negotiated to replace NAFTA โcompliant goods will continue to see a 0% tariffโ and are exempt from the 25% tariff rate.
The list of โcompliant goodsโ โ materials and products that qualify for preferential tariff treatment โ is extensive but includes โmaple syrupโ and โmachinery for sugar manufacture,โ according the schedule of duties under the pact.
That suggests it seems to have โnot picked up anything new from (April 2) announcement,โ Hope said, noting โthatโs not to say that there wonโt be effects on producers. I want to be clear about that.โ
But as far as syrup and equipment goes, โwe have sidestepped any new tariff rules at this point,โ Hope said.
Thatโs the view, too, of Welchโs office, according to spokesperson Aaron White.
โThe certification process to prove USMCA-compliance is functioning on a claim-by-claim basis,โ White said last week, referring to the tariff exemptions.
Welch, he said, โurges the administration to honor previous claims of compliance.โ
Nonetheless, exempt from tariffs doesnโt mean immune from tariffs.
As a micro boiler who expects to produce about 100 gallons of syrup from his 550 taps in West Harford, Carl Nelson, owner of Wildlife Farm, said for him โthe impacts of tariffs havenโt hit yet but I know that all four manufacturers tried to ship their entire yearโs inventory down here before the tariffs hit.โ
Nelson, who sells his syrup โout of my houseโ on Jericho Street and describes his operation as โoff the gridโ noted that a lurking danger for big sugaring operations will be the cost of energy โ oil and electricity from Canada โ that will be driven up due to tariffs.
Syrup makers โuse oil for boilers and boatloads of electricity for reverse osmosis and vacuum pump systems. Electricity is almost not a cost right now but if itโs hikedโ that would affect operating costs. And although the cost of heating oil has been stable, Nelson remembers what happened the last time there was a price shock.
โSeventeen years ago when heating oil went to $4 per gallon a lot of people just didnโt sugar that year … one of these days itโs going to go through the roof again and that will rack sugarmakers,โ he said.
Kem p, the equipment dealer, said he canโt foresee all the fallout tariffs will bring to his industry, other than โit will make maple syrup on store shelves more expensive.โ
There is not a lot of price elasticity in the product.
โWhat worries me the most is that maple syrup is not a staple. Itโs a luxury commodity,โ Kemp said. Paying more on top of what is already an expensive treat for many consumers โincreases the hardship and makes it less likely that people will want to buy. Anybody that doesnโt have rose-colored glasses on can see that.โ
Contact John Lippman at jlippman@vnews.com.
