Two men stood out when it came to health care last week. One put a billion dollars on the line as part of a bold vision for the future of treatment and medicine.
The other told the same old lies.
The former was Jeff Bezos, whose Amazon shelled out big bucks for the online pharmacy PillPack. This ended the guessing game about Amazonโs health care ambitions and sent a clear message to the medical marketplace that the company is a player.
Geoffrey Joyce, a USC pharmaceutical economist, called the move โthe beginning of the endโ for the current way drugs pass through multiple hands โ and receive multiple markups โ before reaching patients.
โAmazon can not only bring more efficiency to the distribution process but, more importantly, create something resembling a real functioning market, where prices are widely known and thus consumers and physicians can make better-informed choices,โ he told me.
The latter standout, needless to say, was President Donald Trump, who decided long ago that making stuff up is easier and more self-serving than sticking to facts.
โWe are coming out with so many health care plans that are so much better than anything youโve ever seen before โ competitive,โ he told a cheering crowd of supporters in North Dakota. โAnd Obamacare is essentially dead.โ
Score that a hat trick of deception. The plans Trump referred to offer limited coverage that donโt meet the standards of the Affordable Care Act. This means theyโre cheaper in cost but largely worthless to anyone with serious medical needs.
These plans are in no way better than anything youโve seen before. Theyโre known as โjunk insuranceโ and represent a genuine danger to the overall stability of the U.S. health care system.
Thatโs because younger, healthier people probably will be attracted by the plansโ lower premiums, leaving those covered by the Affordable Care Actโs more comprehensive policies exposed to far higher costs because the remaining risk pool has become older and sicker.
Offering less coverage for less money isnโt โcompetitive.โ Itโs shortsighted and reckless, undercutting the economic value achieved by providing the best possible insurance to the greatest number of people at the lowest possible price.
Is Obamacare essentially dead? Far from it.
Trump has done his best to cripple the insurance system for people who donโt receive coverage from an employer. Even so, nearly 12 million people โ 12 million โ signed up for Obamacare plans this year, which tells you how desperate many Americans are for decent health insurance.
Where Trump resorted to fabrications about how heโs improving health care, Bezos kept it real with Amazonโs PillPack acquisition, which is expected to close in the second half of the year.
New Hampshire-based PillPack specializes in presorting meds for people with chronic conditions who have to take multiple pills daily. It offers convenience and all the modern efficiencies of a high-tech operation, which make it a good fit for Amazonโs data-driven portfolio.
More important, PillPack is licensed to ship prescriptions to every state except Hawaii and has existing relationships with drug companies, prescription-benefit managers, private insurers and Medicare.
It thus allows Amazon to hit the ground running and to build on PillPack for future growth in the pharmacy space โ just as the companyโs original online bookstore evolved into an online everything store.
At the moment, Amazon is playing its cards close to the vest.
โPillPackโs visionary team has a combination of deep pharmacy experience and a focus on technology,โ said Jeff Wilke, Amazonโs head of retail operations.
โPillPack is meaningfully improving its customersโ lives, and we want to help them continue making it easy for people to save time, simplify their lives and feel healthier,โ he said. โWeโre excited to see what we can do together on behalf of customers over time.โ
T.J. Parker, PillPackโs chief executive, was more suggestive about broader horizons. โTogether with Amazon,โ he said, โwe are eager to continue working with partners across the health care industry to help people throughout the U.S. who can benefit from a better pharmacy experience.โ
Itโs not hard to see how this toast is buttered, which is why the stocks of most major drugstore chains plunged on news of the buyout.
After Bezos and Amazon find their footing, itโs inevitable theyโll offer lower drug prices based on an entirely new economic model, one that isnโt predicated on complex supply chains and the pursuit of ever-larger profits.
Richard Frank, a health economist at Harvard Medical School, indicated thereโs plenty of room for improvement. โThe supply chain is a mess,โ he said.
Where Amazon goes from there is anyoneโs guess. Once it nails down online sales of prescription drugs, it seems a safe bet that medical devices will be next. And donโt be surprised if Amazonโs Alexa plays a role in making sure people take their pills and encouraging a more healthful lifestyle.
In January, Amazon joined forces with Warren Buffettโs Berkshire Hathaway and JPMorgan Chase for a sweeping (but ambiguously defined) initiative aimed at reinventing how health care is delivered in this country. The companies said whatever they came up with would be โfree from profit-making incentives and constraints.โ
Doctor and journalist Atul Gawande recently was tapped to run the venture. He starts this week.
Thereโs every reason to be skeptical, of course. Until we know what these captains of industry are cooking up, all we can do is speculate.
But Iโm relieved that powerful people are committed to finding smart solutions to tough problems.
Itโs refreshing as well to hear them speak the truth, such as when Buffett observed that โthe ballooning costs of health care act as a hungry tapeworm on the American economy.โ
Or when Bezos acknowledged that changing the U.S. health care system will be extraordinarily difficult, but โreducing health careโs burden on the economy while improving outcomes for employees and their families would be worth the effort.โ
Trump, meanwhile, sees nothing but sunshine on the horizon.
His skimpy insurance plans, he said last year, mean that โpeople will have great, great health care. And when I say people, I mean by the millions and millions,โ he said.
โYouโll get such low prices for such great care.โ
Not true. Not that he cares.
